Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 13:00 •
El Molinón
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.49)
1.06 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 25.8% | 26.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Valladolid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Gijon | 0 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 91% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 38% | 46% | 23% | 31% | 27% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 15% | 31% | 23% | 27% |
| Loses | 23% | 54% | 38% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
Sporting GijonWWWLLLLLWWWDLDLDWWWLLWWLWD
ValladolidWWDDWLLDWLDWDLLDWLLDLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 58% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 38% | 23% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 15% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Gijon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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