Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.50)
0.89 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 29.4% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Granada CF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 12.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 67% | 15% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Loses | 25% | 54% | 40% | 21% | 42% | 31% |
AD Ceuta FCLLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWWLLWLL
Granada CFLLLDLDWWDDDLWDDWDLDLDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 24 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 65% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 20% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Granada CF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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