Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.47) 0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 28.0% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGranada CFMalaga
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack82%73%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Granada CF Malaga
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins29%23%26%64%31%48%
Draws50%31%41%29%8%19%
Loses21%46%33%7%62%33%

Form: Granada CF: LLLDLDWWDDDLWDDWDLDLDDWWLWL • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWWWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Granada CF Malaga
HATHAT
GF total191332271340
GF avg1.41.01.21.91.01.5
GA total141832131831
GA avg1.01.41.20.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGranada CFMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%81%78%
1.526%37%41%33%
2.511%11%22%4%
3.57%0%4%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGranada CFMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets538426
Failed to score549145

Penalties

MetricGranada CFMalaga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGranada CFMalaga
Wins26
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-13-0
Goals For5243
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricGranada CFMalaga
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Granada CF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Granada CF = 1.33 (league 1.47), Malaga = 0.90 (league 1.11)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 25.2%

vtt 3 , vtd1