Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio de Gran Canaria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.47) 0.72 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.3% 24.6% 16.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 9.6% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack40%53%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Palmas AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%36%39%71%21%46%
Draws36%50%43%7%29%18%
Loses21%14%18%21%50%36%

Form: Las Palmas: DWLDWWLWDWDDWWWLDDWWDLLDDDDW • AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWWLLWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Las Palmas AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
GF total191534221436
GF avg1.41.11.21.61.01.3
GA total111122152439
GA avg0.80.80.81.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%75%71%
1.529%7%36%43%
2.518%4%18%18%
3.54%4%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610448
Failed to score448257

Penalties

MetricLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
Wins32
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-34-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricLas PalmasAD Ceuta FC
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Las Palmas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away5.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas = 1.62 (league 1.47), AD Ceuta FC = 0.72 (league 1.11)

AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 9.6% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1