Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio La Rosaleda
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.50)
0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.2% | 20.5% | 15.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Valladolid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Malaga | 0 | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 7% | 18% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 7% | 57% | 32% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
MalagaDWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWWWWWLWLWW
ValladolidWWDDWLLDWLDWDLLDWLLDLWLLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 14 | 41 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Malaga | Valladolid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 75% | 61% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 32% | 25% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 4% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Malaga | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 74% | 26% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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