Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:30 • Ibercaja Estadio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.47) 1.89 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.4% 20.8% 66.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
14.5%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaragoza 0 8.1% 15.4% 14.5% 9.2% 4.3% 1.6%
1 5.0% 9.5% 9.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaragozaAlmeria
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack27%100%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaragoza Almeria
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins14%27%21%67%36%52%
Draws36%27%31%13%36%24%
Loses50%47%48%20%29%24%

Form: Zaragoza: LLDDDLWLLLLLLWWWDLDLWDDLDDLLW • Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLLWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Zaragoza Almeria
HATHAT
GF total101424362056
GF avg0.70.90.82.41.41.9
GA total212041221840
GA avg1.51.31.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaragozaAlmeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%79%93%76%
1.514%38%59%45%
2.57%14%31%14%
3.50%7%10%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaragozaAlmeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score6511112

Penalties

MetricZaragozaAlmeria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 88.89%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 11.11%
Total29

Streaks

MetricZaragozaAlmeria
Wins34
Draws31
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-54-22-33-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricZaragozaAlmeria
Form28%72%
Att21%79%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h20%80%
Goals32%68%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Winner : Almeria

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaragoza = 0.62 (league 1.47), Almeria = 1.89 (league 1.11)

Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaragoza 0 8.1% 15.4% 14.5% 9.2% 4.3% 1.6%
1 5.0% 9.5% 9.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 66.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1