Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.48) 1.74 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 23.7% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 6.1% 10.6% 9.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbaceteCastellón
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack58%50%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albacete Castellón
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins40%31%35%60%31%45%
Draws20%38%29%20%31%26%
Loses40%31%35%20%38%29%

Form: Albacete: DLLLDWWDDWLWLWLLWLDLDWWWLDLDDWW • Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLWDWDWWWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Albacete Castellón
HATHAT
GF total182139302050
GF avg1.21.31.32.01.31.6
GA total221840182038
GA avg1.51.11.31.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbaceteCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%58%74%68%
1.529%39%45%26%
2.510%26%29%19%
3.510%6%10%10%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbaceteCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets58134610
Failed to score257268

Penalties

MetricAlbaceteCastellón
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricAlbaceteCastellón
Wins35
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-10-4
Biggest losses1-43-21-34-1
Goals For2454
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricAlbaceteCastellón
Form80%20%
Att54%46%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Albacete or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 10Bet
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albacete = 1.05 (league 1.48), Castellón = 1.74 (league 1.12)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 6.1% 10.6% 9.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 52.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1