Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.50)
1.73 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 23.7% | 52.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albacete | 0 | 6.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 31% | 35% | 60% | 31% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 38% | 29% | 20% | 31% | 26% |
| Loses | 40% | 31% | 35% | 20% | 38% | 29% |
AlbaceteDLLLDWWDDWLWLWLLWLDLDWWWLDLDDWW
CastellónLLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLWDWDWWWDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 21 | 39 | 30 | 20 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Albacete | Castellón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 58% | 74% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 39% | 45% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 26% | 29% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 6% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Albacete | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 10Bet
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
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League standings
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