Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 19:00 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.48) 1.74 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 19.2% 26.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack82%91%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%38%52%44%27%35%
Draws13%31%23%31%13%23%
Loses20%31%26%25%60%42%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLLWWWWDWLW • Real Sociedad II: WLDDLLDLWLLWWLWLLWLDDDLDWWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Almeria Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
GF total362359251944
GF avg2.41.41.91.61.31.4
GA total222143202343
GA avg1.51.31.41.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%77%74%74%
1.558%45%45%35%
2.532%13%16%16%
3.510%3%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score123358

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
Wins43
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-11-35-2
Goals For4344
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaReal Sociedad II
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h88%13%
Goals70%30%
Total63.0%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.64 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 2.43 (league 1.48), Real Sociedad II = 1.74 (league 1.12)

Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1