Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.48) 1.50 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 23.0% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.8% 10.2% 7.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónAlmeria
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack35%71%
Defense24%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Almeria
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins60%29%44%69%38%53%
Draws20%35%28%13%31%22%
Loses20%35%28%19%31%25%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLWDWDWWWDLLLDD • Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLLWWWWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Castellón Almeria
HATHAT
GF total302151412364
GF avg2.01.21.62.61.42.0
GA total182139232144
GA avg1.21.21.21.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónAlmeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%91%78%
1.544%25%59%44%
2.528%19%34%13%
3.59%9%13%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónAlmeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610437
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricCastellónAlmeria
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total610

Streaks

MetricCastellónAlmeria
Wins54
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-45-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-12-33-1
Goals For5453
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricCastellónAlmeria
Form17%83%
Att33%67%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals55%45%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almeria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.01 @ 1xBet
Away3.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.70 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 1.75 (league 1.48), Almeria = 1.50 (league 1.12)

Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.8% 10.2% 7.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1