Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio El Sardinero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.49) 1.37 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 21.2% 25.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 3.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.7% 9.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack60%33%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Santander Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins63%50%56%47%33%41%
Draws13%19%16%35%7%22%
Loses25%31%28%18%60%38%

Form: Racing Santander: WWWWLDLWLWWWLDWWWDDDLWWLWLWWWWLL • Sporting Gijon: WWWLLLLLWWWDLDLDWWWLLWWLWDDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Racing Santander Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
GF total352762271643
GF avg2.21.71.91.61.11.3
GA total232346192140
GA avg1.41.41.41.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%78%78%72%
1.556%44%34%34%
2.534%16%16%16%
3.513%6%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets527639
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
Wins43
Draws33
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-43-11-33-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricRacing SantanderSporting Gijon
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Racing Santander or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away4.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Racing Santander = 2.06 (league 1.49), Sporting Gijon = 1.37 (league 1.13)

Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 3.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.7% 9.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1