Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Departamental Libertad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.10) 0.89 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 29.3% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 12.1% 10.7% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack22%11%
Defense78%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pasto America de Cali
HATHAT
Played151631191837
Wins60%6%32%58%22%41%
Draws20%38%29%32%39%35%
Loses20%56%39%11%39%24%

Form: Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLD • America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pasto America de Cali
HATHAT
GF total23932291443
GF avg1.50.61.01.50.81.2
GA total142034131629
GA avg0.91.31.10.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%74%68%54%
1.526%29%32%16%
2.510%6%11%8%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets53810717
Failed to score28104812

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
Wins32
Draws42
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PastoAmerica de Cali
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Pasto or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Pasto = 1.23 (league 1.10), America de Cali = 0.89 (league 0.81)

America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 12.1% 10.7% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1