Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 23:20 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.10) 1.33 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 24.8% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 5.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeMillonarios
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack60%80%
Defense50%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Millonarios
HATHAT
Played212344222042
Wins43%43%43%50%35%43%
Draws33%30%32%32%20%26%
Loses24%26%25%18%45%31%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDD • Millonarios: WWDLWLWLWLWWWDDWDDWWWDDDWLLLLDLLWWDWLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Millonarios
HATHAT
GF total262955312354
GF avg1.21.31.31.41.21.3
GA total192645182745
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeMillonarios
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%61%71%57%
1.534%30%43%36%
2.57%5%12%14%
3.52%2%2%0%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeMillonarios
HATHAT
Clean sheets981711718
Failed to score56116612

Penalties

MetricSanta FeMillonarios
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricSanta FeMillonarios
Wins33
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-73-01-3
Biggest losses1-36-11-23-0
Goals For3743
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeMillonarios
Form46%54%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Fe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.53 (league 1.10), Millonarios = 1.33 (league 0.81)

Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 5.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1