Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.10) 1.00 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.4% 18.6% 15.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 3.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.6% 8.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico NacionalEnvigado
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack58%33%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Nacional Envigado
HATHAT
Played171734151328
Wins59%29%44%13%38%25%
Draws24%41%32%40%8%25%
Loses18%29%24%47%54%50%

Form: Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDD • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLD

League goals

Metric Atletico Nacional Envigado
HATHAT
GF total352156121224
GF avg2.11.21.60.80.90.9
GA total161834221537
GA avg0.91.11.01.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico NacionalEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%50%86%
1.547%26%21%25%
2.526%9%11%7%
3.512%0%4%4%
4.53%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico NacionalEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512224
Failed to score2686814

Penalties

MetricAtletico NacionalEnvigado
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total73

Streaks

MetricAtletico NacionalEnvigado
Wins32
Draws22
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-53-13-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-72-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against3373

Model comparison

MetricAtletico NacionalEnvigado
Form54%46%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h85%15%
Goals86%14%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ 10Bet
Draw5.60 @ Betano
Away13.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Nacional = 2.29 (league 1.10), Envigado = 1.00 (league 0.81)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 3.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.6% 8.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 15.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1