Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.11) 1.02 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 30.1% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 12.5% 12.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack46%38%
Defense23%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Petrolera America de Cali
HATHAT
Played141428161632
Wins43%29%36%63%25%44%
Draws29%29%29%25%44%34%
Loses29%43%36%13%31%22%

Form: Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDW • America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Alianza Petrolera America de Cali
HATHAT
GF total181331271441
GF avg1.30.91.11.70.91.3
GA total122133121426
GA avg0.91.51.20.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%61%75%53%
1.525%43%34%19%
2.511%14%13%9%
3.54%0%6%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118715
Failed to score4610268

Penalties

MetricAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-23-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-01-33-0
Goals For6344
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAlianza PetroleraAmerica de Cali
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or America de Cali

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Petrolera = 1.06 (league 1.11), America de Cali = 1.02 (league 0.79)

America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 12.5% 12.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1