Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.10) 0.59 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 29.1% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 15.1% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeOnce Caldas
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack63%50%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played171936171633
Wins41%53%47%41%19%30%
Draws41%16%28%24%31%27%
Loses18%32%25%35%50%42%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWL • Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDL

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total192746241034
GF avg1.11.41.31.40.61.0
GA total142438192140
GA avg0.81.31.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%64%67%70%
1.536%31%27%42%
2.56%3%9%6%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets76135510
Failed to score5493811

Penalties

MetricSanta FeOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricSanta FeOnce Caldas
Wins32
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-73-01-2
Biggest losses1-26-11-34-0
Goals For3732
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeOnce Caldas
Form70%30%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total64.4%35.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.30 (league 1.10), Once Caldas = 0.59 (league 0.81)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 15.1% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 11.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1