Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Américo Montanini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.10) 1.11 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 21.1% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%71%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bucaramanga Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Played141327151429
Wins50%38%44%47%29%38%
Draws21%23%22%27%29%28%
Loses29%38%33%27%43%34%

Form: Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWW • Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Bucaramanga Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
GF total211738191332
GF avg1.51.31.41.30.91.1
GA total141428122133
GA avg1.01.11.00.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%66%59%
1.537%26%24%41%
2.515%7%10%14%
3.511%4%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398412
Failed to score4264610

Penalties

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
Wins33
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-10-2
Biggest losses0-42-11-33-0
Goals For4463
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Petrolera
Form63%37%
Att69%31%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bucaramanga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bucaramanga = 2.04 (league 1.10), Alianza Petrolera = 1.11 (league 0.81)

Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1