Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Alberto Grisales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.10) 1.59 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 24.9% 58.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 10.1% 16.1% 12.8% 6.8% 2.7% 0.9%
1 7.1% 11.3% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack63%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
Played141630191938
Wins21%13%17%47%47%47%
Draws36%56%47%37%32%34%
Loses43%31%37%16%21%18%

Form: Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLD • Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
GF total161127291948
GF avg1.10.70.91.51.01.3
GA total181634161430
GA avg1.31.01.10.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%74%55%
1.527%30%34%16%
2.53%10%18%5%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
HATHAT
Clean sheets3699817
Failed to score48123710

Penalties

MetricRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
Wins36
Draws34
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses2-34-03-42-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricRionegro AguilasIndependiente Medellin
Form28%72%
Att29%71%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ 10Bet
Away2.27 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rionegro Aguilas = 0.70 (league 1.10), Independiente Medellin = 1.59 (league 0.82)

Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 10.1% 16.1% 12.8% 6.8% 2.7% 0.9%
1 7.1% 11.3% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 58.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1