Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.10) 1.55 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.3% 25.2% 45.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 6.6% 10.3% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack22%89%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Envigado Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins13%33%23%50%27%39%
Draws44%7%26%25%27%26%
Loses44%60%52%25%47%35%

Form: Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDL • Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Envigado Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
GF total131225221436
GF avg0.80.80.81.40.91.2
GA total231740122436
GA avg1.41.11.30.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%87%68%58%
1.519%23%26%42%
2.510%6%13%16%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Clean sheets2249413
Failed to score610164610

Penalties

MetricEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
Wins23
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-46-10-2
Biggest losses1-72-01-33-0
Goals For3463
Goals Against7333

Model comparison

MetricEnvigadoAlianza Petrolera
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Petrolera

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 1.16 (league 1.10), Alianza Petrolera = 1.55 (league 0.81)

Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 6.6% 10.3% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 45.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1