Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.10) 0.78 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 34.1% 29.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rionegro Aguilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 18.5% 14.4% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack44%56%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Rionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
Played151631141630
Wins47%25%35%21%13%17%
Draws13%19%16%36%56%47%
Loses40%56%48%43%31%37%

Form: Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWD • Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Llaneros Rionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
GF total151530161127
GF avg1.00.91.01.10.70.9
GA total142337181634
GA avg0.91.41.21.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%74%60%70%
1.535%26%27%30%
2.56%13%3%10%
3.50%6%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
Clean sheets448369
Failed to score68144812

Penalties

MetricLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
Wins33
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-02-34-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosRionegro Aguilas
Form58%42%
Att44%56%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Llaneros or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 0.91 (league 1.10), Rionegro Aguilas = 0.78 (league 0.81)

Rionegro Aguilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 18.5% 14.4% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1