Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio de La Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.10) 0.78 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 29.8% 23.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chico 0 13.5% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicoDeportivo Pereira
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack6%17%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chico Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%6%19%56%7%32%
Draws47%31%39%38%33%35%
Loses20%63%42%6%60%32%

Form: Chico: WLDLLWDDDDLLDDLLDWWLDWLDLDLDWLL • Deportivo Pereira: LDLDLWLWWDLDDWWDDWLWDLWLWDWDLLD

League goals

Metric Chico Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
GF total13821211031
GF avg0.90.50.71.30.71.0
GA total14324682331
GA avg0.92.01.50.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicoDeportivo Pereira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%65%61%61%
1.516%48%32%29%
2.50%23%6%10%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicoDeportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Clean sheets83119312
Failed to score69154812

Penalties

MetricChicoDeportivo Pereira
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricChicoDeportivo Pereira
Wins22
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-00-1
Biggest losses1-44-00-13-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricChicoDeportivo Pereira
Form44%56%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pereira and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chico = 1.23 (league 1.10), Deportivo Pereira = 0.78 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chico 0 13.5% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 23.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1