Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 01:10 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.10) 1.19 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 29.7% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 12.4% 14.7% 8.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack39%33%
Defense78%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins50%13%31%53%40%47%
Draws31%38%34%24%27%25%
Loses19%50%34%24%33%28%

Form: Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWL • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total181432261844
GF avg1.10.91.01.51.21.4
GA total132437151429
GA avg0.81.51.20.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%63%75%59%
1.528%34%38%22%
2.53%9%16%6%
3.53%6%9%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets93128513
Failed to score5611538

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)5 | 83.33%7 | 87.50%
Missed (total | %)1 | 16.67%1 | 12.50%
Total68

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Wins23
Draws53
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses1-54-00-42-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against5442

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCBucaramanga
Form48%52%
Att54%46%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals10%90%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.93 @ Marathonbet
Away2.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 0.90 (league 1.10), Bucaramanga = 1.19 (league 0.81)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 12.4% 14.7% 8.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1