Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.10) 0.52 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 20.3% 9.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 9.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack50%25%
Defense44%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played182038161632
Wins56%30%42%56%6%31%
Draws28%35%32%19%38%28%
Loses17%35%26%25%56%41%

Form: Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDD • Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDL

League goals

Metric Junior Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total28245223932
GF avg1.61.21.41.40.61.0
GA total132740162036
GA avg0.71.41.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%66%66%75%
1.545%32%25%31%
2.513%8%9%6%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613538
Failed to score46103811

Penalties

MetricJuniorDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricJuniorDeportivo Pasto
Wins53
Draws34
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricJuniorDeportivo Pasto
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Junior or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ 188Bet
Draw5.90 @ Betano
Away14.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ Pinnacle
No1.58 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Junior = 1.88 (league 1.10), Deportivo Pasto = 0.52 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 9.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1