Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.10) 2.07 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 19.3% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.0%
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 6.1% 12.6% 13.0% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.6% 3.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnvigadoBucaramanga
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack17%33%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Envigado Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins12%31%21%53%38%45%
Draws47%13%30%24%25%24%
Loses41%56%48%24%38%30%

Form: Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLDD • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDWDWL

League goals

Metric Envigado Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total131326261945
GF avg0.80.80.81.51.21.4
GA total231841151631
GA avg1.41.11.20.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnvigadoBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%85%76%61%
1.518%21%36%24%
2.59%6%15%6%
3.53%3%9%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnvigadoBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets3258513
Failed to score71017538

Penalties

MetricEnvigadoBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricEnvigadoBucaramanga
Wins23
Draws23
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-72-00-42-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against7342

Model comparison

MetricEnvigadoBucaramanga
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total25.8%74.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 0.73 (league 1.10), Bucaramanga = 2.07 (league 0.81)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 6.1% 12.6% 13.0% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.6% 3.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 66.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1