Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.10) 1.21 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 30.1% 47.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Rionegro Aguilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 14.3% 17.3% 10.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Rionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
Played161733151732
Wins6%18%12%27%18%22%
Draws50%18%33%33%53%44%
Loses44%65%55%40%29%34%

Form: Union Magdalena: LDDDLLDLDLLLDDDLLLLWDLLWDLWLLWLLD • Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Rionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
GF total141428191231
GF avg0.90.80.81.30.71.0
GA total222850191635
GA avg1.41.61.51.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%85%63%69%
1.518%48%28%28%
2.53%15%6%9%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
HATHAT
Clean sheets3253710
Failed to score75124812

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
Wins13
Draws33
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-12-34-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaRionegro Aguilas
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rionegro Aguilas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 0.74 (league 1.10), Rionegro Aguilas = 1.21 (league 0.81)

Rionegro Aguilas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 14.3% 17.3% 10.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1