Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Departamental Libertad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.10) 1.11 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 22.2% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.3% 10.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack14%57%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins56%6%30%53%25%39%
Draws19%35%27%24%31%27%
Loses25%59%42%24%44%33%

Form: Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLL • Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
GF total23932251439
GF avg1.40.51.01.50.91.2
GA total162238132437
GA avg1.01.31.20.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%76%67%58%
1.524%33%27%39%
2.59%6%15%15%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Clean sheets5389514
Failed to score39124711

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
Wins33
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-16-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PastoAlianza Petrolera
Form9%91%
Att20%80%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Petrolera

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Pasto = 1.91 (league 1.10), Alianza Petrolera = 1.11 (league 0.81)

Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.3% 10.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1