Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.10) 1.12 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 30.9% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Equidad 0 14.3% 16.0% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa EquidadOnce Caldas
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack7%57%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Equidad Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played161733201838
Wins25%0%12%50%17%34%
Draws25%29%27%20%33%26%
Loses50%71%61%30%50%39%

Form: La Equidad: DLLLDLLDLDLLWLWLLLLLDLWDLDWLDLDLL • Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric La Equidad Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total11920311243
GF avg0.70.50.61.60.71.1
GA total203353212445
GA avg1.31.91.61.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa EquidadOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%79%68%68%
1.512%42%29%42%
2.50%30%11%5%
3.50%9%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa EquidadOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277512
Failed to score98173912

Penalties

MetricLa EquidadOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLa EquidadOnce Caldas
Wins12
Draws12
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-05-21-2
Biggest losses0-44-01-34-0
Goals For2152
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricLa EquidadOnce Caldas
Form17%83%
Att11%89%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total23.0%77.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Once Caldas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): La Equidad = 0.82 (league 1.10), Once Caldas = 1.12 (league 0.81)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Equidad 0 14.3% 16.0% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1