Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.10) 0.79 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 25.0% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 9.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaEnvigado
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack70%30%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Envigado
HATHAT
Played202040181634
Wins55%40%48%11%31%21%
Draws25%25%25%44%13%29%
Loses20%35%28%44%56%50%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLW • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLDDL

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Envigado
HATHAT
GF total312556141327
GF avg1.61.31.40.80.80.8
GA total162339251843
GA avg0.81.21.01.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%60%50%85%
1.538%23%18%24%
2.520%13%9%6%
3.55%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets9716325
Failed to score45971017

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaEnvigado
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaEnvigado
Wins32
Draws22
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-13-4
Biggest losses1-33-11-72-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against3473

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaEnvigado
Form67%33%
Att70%30%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away9.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.60 (league 1.10), Envigado = 0.79 (league 0.81)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 9.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1