Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.10) 0.88 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 23.2% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 7.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeLlaneros
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack58%17%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Llaneros
HATHAT
Played202141171734
Wins45%48%46%41%24%32%
Draws35%24%29%18%18%18%
Loses20%29%24%41%59%50%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDW • Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Llaneros
HATHAT
GF total252853151631
GF avg1.31.31.30.90.90.9
GA total162541152641
GA avg0.81.21.00.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeLlaneros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%61%53%74%
1.537%29%32%26%
2.57%2%6%15%
3.52%2%0%6%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeLlaneros
HATHAT
Clean sheets9716549
Failed to score55108816

Penalties

MetricSanta FeLlaneros
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricSanta FeLlaneros
Wins33
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-72-00-3
Biggest losses1-26-11-34-0
Goals For3723
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeLlaneros
Form62%38%
Att78%22%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total65.3%34.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away7.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.77 (league 1.10), Llaneros = 0.88 (league 0.81)

Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 7.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1