Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Alberto Grisales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.10) 0.79 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 25.8% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack50%28%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played161834171734
Wins31%17%24%53%6%29%
Draws31%50%41%24%35%29%
Loses38%33%35%24%59%41%

Form: Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLDWWLW • Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total21143526935
GF avg1.30.81.01.50.51.0
GA total201939192241
GA avg1.31.11.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%71%65%76%
1.532%29%26%35%
2.56%12%12%9%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets3710538
Failed to score48123912

Penalties

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
Wins33
Draws34
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses2-34-00-23-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportivo Pasto
Form83%17%
Att64%36%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Rionegro Aguilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Betano
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ Pinnacle
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rionegro Aguilas = 1.53 (league 1.10), Deportivo Pasto = 0.79 (league 0.82)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1