Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.10) 1.19 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 22.2% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.5% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.2% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza PetroleraJunior
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack83%50%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Petrolera Junior
HATHAT
Played171734202040
Wins53%24%38%55%30%43%
Draws24%35%29%25%35%30%
Loses24%41%32%20%35%28%

Form: Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWD • Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWL

League goals

Metric Alianza Petrolera Junior
HATHAT
GF total251742302454
GF avg1.51.01.21.51.21.4
GA total132740142741
GA avg0.81.61.20.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza PetroleraJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%59%73%65%
1.529%41%45%30%
2.518%18%13%8%
3.53%0%5%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza PetroleraJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets95148614
Failed to score47115611

Penalties

MetricAlianza PetroleraJunior
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricAlianza PetroleraJunior
Wins35
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-23-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAlianza PetroleraJunior
Form62%38%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total44.0%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Petrolera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Petrolera = 1.91 (league 1.10), Junior = 1.19 (league 0.81)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.5% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.2% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1