Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.10) 0.59 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.0% 15.1% 7.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.6% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack38%25%
Defense75%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Chico
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins53%12%32%29%6%18%
Draws29%41%35%53%29%41%
Loses18%47%32%18%65%41%

Form: Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWD • Chico: WLDLLWDDDDLLDDLLDWWLDWLDLDLDWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Chico
HATHAT
GF total201434151025
GF avg1.20.81.00.90.60.7
GA total142438163753
GA avg0.81.41.10.92.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCChico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%62%56%68%
1.529%32%18%47%
2.53%9%0%24%
3.53%6%0%15%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCChico
HATHAT
Clean sheets94138311
Failed to score57126915

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Wins22
Draws54
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-54-01-44-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Form83%17%
Att60%40%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : Fortaleza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away6.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 2.40 (league 1.10), Chico = 0.59 (league 0.81)

Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.6% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 7.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1