Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.10) 0.89 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 20.8% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack69%62%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Nacional Deportivo Cali
HATHAT
Played192039171734
Wins63%30%46%41%18%29%
Draws21%45%33%35%47%41%
Loses16%25%21%24%35%29%

Form: Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDDWDWWD • Deportivo Cali: DWLDWWDDDDDWDLWLDLLLLDDWLDWDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Nacional Deportivo Cali
HATHAT
GF total382765181533
GF avg2.01.41.71.10.91.0
GA total162339171936
GA avg0.81.21.01.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%53%62%
1.549%26%24%32%
2.526%10%18%12%
3.510%0%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets95146713
Failed to score26861016

Penalties

MetricAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total109

Streaks

MetricAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
Wins32
Draws25
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-53-10-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-33-1
Goals For4534
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
Form52%48%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Nacional = 2.00 (league 1.10), Deportivo Cali = 0.89 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1