Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 23:20 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.10) 0.82 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 24.3% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pereira 0 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.4% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack20%40%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pereira Millonarios
HATHAT
Played171734211940
Wins53%6%29%52%37%45%
Draws41%35%38%29%21%25%
Loses6%59%32%19%42%30%

Form: Deportivo Pereira: LDLDLWLWWDLDDWWDDWLWDLWLWDWDLLDDDL • Millonarios: WWDLWLWLWLWWWDDWDDWWWDDDWLLLLDLLWWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pereira Millonarios
HATHAT
GF total231134302151
GF avg1.40.61.01.41.11.3
GA total102535172441
GA avg0.61.51.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%65%70%55%
1.532%29%43%35%
2.56%9%13%13%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
HATHAT
Clean sheets931211718
Failed to score49136612

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
Wins23
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-23-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PereiraMillonarios
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total41.5%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Millonarios

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.76 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Pereira = 1.66 (league 1.10), Millonarios = 0.82 (league 0.81)

Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pereira 0 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.4% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1