Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 23:30 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.11) 1.59 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.1% 25.0% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack32%21%
Defense53%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
Played161834181735
Wins13%17%15%11%35%23%
Draws50%17%32%44%12%29%
Loses38%67%53%44%53%49%

Form: Union Magdalena: LDDDLLDLDLLLDDDLLLWDLLWDLWLLWLLDWL • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
GF total171431141529
GF avg1.10.80.90.80.90.8
GA total232952251944
GA avg1.41.61.51.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%51%86%
1.521%50%20%23%
2.56%15%9%6%
3.50%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score661271017

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Wins12
Draws32
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-13-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-72-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3473

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.09 (league 1.11), Envigado = 1.59 (league 0.79)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1