Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Alberto Grisales
First Half
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.11) 1.64 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 21.3% 31.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack63%56%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins29%17%23%50%24%37%
Draws35%50%43%22%35%29%
Loses35%33%34%28%41%34%

Form: Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLDWWLWD • Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWDL

League goals

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
GF total231437251742
GF avg1.40.81.11.41.01.2
GA total221941142741
GA avg1.31.11.20.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%71%66%60%
1.534%31%29%40%
2.56%11%17%17%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Clean sheets37109514
Failed to score48125712

Penalties

MetricRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-10-2
Biggest losses2-34-01-33-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricRionegro AguilasAlianza Petrolera
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rionegro Aguilas = 2.02 (league 1.11), Alianza Petrolera = 1.64 (league 0.79)

Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1