Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Bello Horizonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.10) 0.79 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 31.9% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 15.7% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosOnce Caldas
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack29%64%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played171835211940
Wins41%28%34%48%21%35%
Draws18%17%17%19%32%25%
Loses41%56%49%33%47%40%

Form: Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWDLLDW • Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLWWDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Llaneros Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total151934321345
GF avg0.91.11.01.50.71.1
GA total152742262450
GA avg0.91.51.21.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%74%70%68%
1.534%26%28%43%
2.59%14%10%8%
3.50%6%3%5%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497613
Failed to score88163912

Penalties

MetricLlanerosOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLlanerosOnce Caldas
Wins32
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-21-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-54-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosOnce Caldas
Form36%64%
Att31%69%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Once Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 1.06 (league 1.10), Once Caldas = 0.79 (league 0.79)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 15.7% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1