Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.10) 0.59 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 27.2% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
13.5%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 13.3% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack60%70%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins56%11%33%50%6%28%
Draws28%39%33%28%39%33%
Loses17%50%33%22%56%39%

Form: Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWDWL • Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLLDDD

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total211536281139
GF avg1.20.81.01.60.61.1
GA total142741212445
GA avg0.81.51.11.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%61%67%78%
1.528%33%31%39%
2.53%11%11%8%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets10414538
Failed to score57123912

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Wins23
Draws54
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-54-00-23-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Form70%30%
Att46%54%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Fortaleza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away6.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 1.42 (league 1.10), Deportivo Pasto = 0.59 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 13.3% 7.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1