Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.11) 0.60 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.8% 14.0% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
11.8%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
La Equidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.8% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack60%20%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Petrolera La Equidad
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins50%22%36%22%0%11%
Draws22%33%28%22%28%25%
Loses28%44%36%56%72%64%

Form: Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWDLL • La Equidad: DLLLDLLDLDLLWLWLLLLLDLWDLDWLDLDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Alianza Petrolera La Equidad
HATHAT
GF total251742111122
GF avg1.40.91.20.60.60.6
GA total142842233659
GA avg0.81.61.21.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%61%47%81%
1.528%39%14%44%
2.517%17%0%31%
3.53%0%0%8%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
HATHAT
Clean sheets9514527
Failed to score581311819

Penalties

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Wins31
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-22-0—
Biggest losses1-33-00-44-0
Goals For6322
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Petrolera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ Dafabet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away9.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Petrolera = 2.53 (league 1.11), La Equidad = 0.60 (league 0.79)

La Equidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.8% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1