Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.10) 0.59 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.1% 13.9% 6.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
La Equidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack50%25%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Petrolera La Equidad
HATHAT
Played181836171835
Wins50%22%36%24%0%11%
Draws22%33%28%24%28%26%
Loses28%44%36%53%72%63%

Form: Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWDLL • La Equidad: DLLLDLLDLDLLWLWLLLLLDLWDLDWLDLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Alianza Petrolera La Equidad
HATHAT
GF total251742111122
GF avg1.40.91.20.60.60.6
GA total142842213657
GA avg0.81.61.21.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%61%49%80%
1.528%39%14%43%
2.517%17%0%31%
3.53%0%0%9%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
HATHAT
Clean sheets9514527
Failed to score581310818

Penalties

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Wins31
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-22-0
Biggest losses1-33-00-44-0
Goals For6322
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricAlianza PetroleraLa Equidad
Form83%17%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Petrolera or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Betfair
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Petrolera = 2.54 (league 1.10), La Equidad = 0.59 (league 0.81)

La Equidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1