Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.11) 1.00 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 24.8% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack60%70%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Deportivo Cali
HATHAT
Played212142181836
Wins52%43%48%39%17%28%
Draws24%24%24%33%44%39%
Loses24%33%29%28%39%33%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLW • Deportivo Cali: DWLDWWDDDDDWDLWLDLLLLDDWLDWDLDWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Deportivo Cali
HATHAT
GF total322759181634
GF avg1.51.31.41.00.90.9
GA total182341192140
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%60%53%64%
1.538%24%22%36%
2.519%12%17%11%
3.55%2%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets98176713
Failed to score45971017

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total29

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Wins32
Draws25
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-10-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-33-1
Goals For4434
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.63 (league 1.11), Deportivo Cali = 1.00 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1