Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.11) 1.19 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 20.3% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Union Magdalena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%56%
Defense31%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Union Magdalena
HATHAT
Played212041171835
Wins48%20%34%18%17%17%
Draws19%30%24%47%17%31%
Loses33%50%41%35%67%51%

Form: Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLWWDWLWWLL • Union Magdalena: LDDDLLDLDLLLDDDLLLWDLLWDLWLLWLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Union Magdalena
HATHAT
GF total321345201434
GF avg1.50.71.11.20.81.0
GA total262652242953
GA avg1.21.31.31.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%66%86%
1.527%44%23%49%
2.510%7%9%14%
3.52%5%0%3%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613325
Failed to score310136612

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
Wins21
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-54-01-34-1
Goals For5232
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasUnion Magdalena
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h64%36%
Goals62%38%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away7.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 2.16 (league 1.11), Union Magdalena = 1.19 (league 0.81)

Union Magdalena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1