Primera A — Colombia
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 00:45 • Estadio Departamental Libertad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.11) 1.06 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 18.6% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.9% 8.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack50%57%
Defense21%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%5%27%53%6%30%
Draws28%37%32%37%33%35%
Loses22%58%41%11%61%35%

Form: Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLLDDDL • Deportivo Pereira: LDLDLWLWWDLDDWWDDWLWDLWLWDWDLLDDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
GF total281139271340
GF avg1.60.61.11.40.71.1
GA total212647172845
GA avg1.21.41.30.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%78%65%68%
1.530%41%35%35%
2.511%8%8%14%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Clean sheets5389312
Failed to score310134913

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
Wins32
Draws43
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-53-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Pasto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ 1xBet
Draw13.00 @ Bet365
Away23.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 10Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Pasto = 2.32 (league 1.11), Deportivo Pereira = 1.06 (league 0.79)

Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.9% 8.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1