Primera A — Colombia
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Alberto Grisales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.11) 1.36 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 25.4% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRionegro AguilasEnvigado
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack86%36%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Envigado
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins33%21%27%11%33%22%
Draws33%47%41%42%11%27%
Loses33%32%32%47%56%51%

Form: Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLDWWLWDWW • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Envigado
HATHAT
GF total241943141630
GF avg1.31.01.20.70.90.8
GA total222042272249
GA avg1.21.11.11.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRionegro AguilasEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%70%51%86%
1.535%30%19%27%
2.58%11%8%8%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRionegro AguilasEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711325
Failed to score481281018

Penalties

MetricRionegro AguilasEnvigado
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricRionegro AguilasEnvigado
Wins32
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-53-13-4
Biggest losses2-34-01-73-1
Goals For3534
Goals Against3473

Model comparison

MetricRionegro AguilasEnvigado
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rionegro Aguilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away6.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rionegro Aguilas = 1.41 (league 1.11), Envigado = 1.36 (league 0.79)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1