Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 23:10 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.10) 1.33 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 24.4% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 5.4% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack87%47%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played222244181735
Wins45%50%48%56%35%46%
Draws41%27%34%22%29%26%
Loses14%23%18%22%35%29%

Form: Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWDDWLWWD • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWD

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total352863272148
GF avg1.61.31.41.51.21.4
GA total201939151833
GA avg0.90.90.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%61%77%63%
1.539%20%37%23%
2.523%5%14%6%
3.52%2%9%3%
4.52%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets98179413
Failed to score3710538

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total88

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Wins63
Draws43
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-01-4
Biggest losses3-42-00-42-1
Goals For3544
Goals Against4242

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Form50%50%
Att65%35%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away4.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Betano
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Betano
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.60 (league 1.10), Bucaramanga = 1.33 (league 0.81)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 5.4% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 31.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1