Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 01:20 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.11) 0.70 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 24.2% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millonarios 0 9.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillonariosOnce Caldas
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack43%57%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millonarios Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played222143222042
Wins50%38%44%50%20%36%
Draws32%19%26%18%30%24%
Loses18%43%30%32%50%40%

Form: Millonarios: WWDLWLWLWLWWWDDWDDWWWDDDWLLLLDLLWWDWLWLWLDW • Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLWWDWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Millonarios Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total312455331346
GF avg1.41.11.31.50.71.1
GA total182745262652
GA avg0.81.31.01.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillonariosOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%69%67%
1.542%35%26%43%
2.512%14%10%7%
3.52%0%2%5%
4.50%0%2%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillonariosOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets118198614
Failed to score661231013

Penalties

MetricMillonariosOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricMillonariosOnce Caldas
Wins32
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-21-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-54-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricMillonariosOnce Caldas
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h36%64%
Goals45%55%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Millonarios or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Millonarios = 1.65 (league 1.11), Once Caldas = 0.70 (league 0.79)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millonarios 0 9.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1