Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.10) 2.30 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 19.2% 59.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.3%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 3.0% 7.0% 8.0% 6.2% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
Played171936222143
Wins18%16%17%55%43%49%
Draws47%16%31%23%24%23%
Loses35%68%53%23%33%28%

Form: Union Magdalena: LDDDLLDLDLLLDDDLLLWDLLWDLWLLWLLDWLWL • Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
GF total201434342761
GF avg1.20.70.91.51.31.4
GA total243054192342
GA avg1.41.61.50.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%79%60%
1.522%47%40%23%
2.58%14%19%12%
3.50%3%5%2%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259817
Failed to score6713459

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
Wins13
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-33-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaDeportes Tolima
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportes Tolima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.55 @ Betano
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.20 (league 1.10), Deportes Tolima = 2.30 (league 0.79)

Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 3.0% 7.0% 8.0% 6.2% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 59.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1