Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 23:10 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.11) 1.28 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 24.6% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 5.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.6% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorSanta Fe
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%36%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Santa Fe
HATHAT
Played212243222345
Wins57%32%44%41%43%42%
Draws24%32%28%32%30%31%
Loses19%36%28%27%26%27%

Form: Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWL • Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDL

League goals

Metric Junior Santa Fe
HATHAT
GF total332659262955
GF avg1.61.21.41.21.31.2
GA total162945202646
GA avg0.81.31.00.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorSanta Fe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%65%73%62%
1.544%33%33%29%
2.514%7%7%4%
3.55%0%2%2%
4.50%0%2%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorSanta Fe
HATHAT
Clean sheets87159817
Failed to score56116612

Penalties

MetricJuniorSanta Fe
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total107

Streaks

MetricJuniorSanta Fe
Wins53
Draws33
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-01-7
Biggest losses1-23-01-36-1
Goals For4337
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricJuniorSanta Fe
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santa Fe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Superbet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Junior = 1.58 (league 1.11), Santa Fe = 1.28 (league 0.81)

Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 5.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.6% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1