Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 01:20 • Estadio Bello Horizonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 26.9% 46.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 9.2% 12.9% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosAtletico Nacional
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack67%100%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
Played181937212142
Wins44%26%35%67%29%48%
Draws17%16%16%19%48%33%
Loses39%58%49%14%24%19%

Form: Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWDLLDWWL • Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDDWDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Llaneros Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
GF total171936452974
GF avg0.91.01.02.11.41.8
GA total152944192544
GA avg0.81.51.20.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosAtletico Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%73%81%67%
1.535%27%52%29%
2.58%14%26%10%
3.50%5%12%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosAtletico Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets64109514
Failed to score8917268

Penalties

MetricLlanerosAtletico Nacional
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total111

Streaks

MetricLlanerosAtletico Nacional
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-01-5
Biggest losses1-34-02-32-0
Goals For2355
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosAtletico Nacional
Form39%61%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 0.98 (league 1.11), Atletico Nacional = 1.41 (league 0.79)

Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 9.2% 12.9% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 46.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1