Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.11) 0.53 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.4% 13.4% 5.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza PetroleraChico
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%23%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Petrolera Chico
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins53%26%39%26%11%18%
Draws21%32%26%53%26%39%
Loses26%42%34%21%63%42%

Form: Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWDLLWW • Chico: WLDLLWDDDDLLDDLLDWWLDWLDLDLDWLLDLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Alianza Petrolera Chico
HATHAT
GF total271845151227
GF avg1.40.91.20.80.60.7
GA total142842183856
GA avg0.71.51.10.92.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza PetroleraChico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%58%53%66%
1.529%37%18%45%
2.516%16%0%21%
3.53%0%0%13%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza PetroleraChico
HATHAT
Clean sheets106169413
Failed to score581381018

Penalties

MetricAlianza PetroleraChico
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAlianza PetroleraChico
Wins32
Draws24
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-44-0
Goals For6322
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricAlianza PetroleraChico
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Petrolera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 188Bet
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away9.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.63 @ Betfair
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Petrolera = 2.53 (league 1.11), Chico = 0.53 (league 0.79)

Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Petrolera 0 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 5.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1