Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.11) 0.91 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 21.9% 17.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.5% 10.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack20%73%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played222143191938
Wins50%19%35%53%5%29%
Draws18%33%26%26%37%32%
Loses32%48%40%21%58%39%

Form: Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLWWDWLWWLLWD • Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLLDDDLW

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total331346321143
GF avg1.50.61.11.70.61.1
GA total262652212647
GA avg1.21.21.21.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%65%66%76%
1.526%42%32%39%
2.59%7%13%8%
3.52%5%3%0%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715639
Failed to score3111431013

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Wins23
Draws24
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-24-00-1
Biggest losses1-54-00-23-0
Goals For5242
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pasto
Form54%46%
Att21%79%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 1.90 (league 1.11), Deportivo Pasto = 0.91 (league 0.79)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.5% 10.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1